According to an AP article I found on Breitbart, 1 in 3 newly registered Ohio voters are having the registrations reviewed and possibly revoked due to inconsistencies between registration information and DMV or social security information. 666,000 people have registered since January. That means potentially 222,000 people could find out on election day that they can't vote.
Aside from the obvious issue of disenfranchising 222,000 people, there's more than just a number here. That 222,000 people most likely has a large slant towards newly registered Democrats--a product of Obama's aggressive voter registration strategy. I couldn't find a break-down of the number of Democratic registrations versus Republicans, but it's safe to say that since this action is being brought forth by the Republican party, they wouldn't be looking to disenfranchise 222,000 of their own voters.
So let's do the math. Ohio has around 11 million residents. Let's estimate about 60% of those are registered and going to vote. That's 6.8 million people. The latest poll has Obama at 48.8%, and McCain at 46%. That puts 3,324,199 votes in Obama's column and 3,133,466 votes for McCain. If you subtract 222,000 votes from Obama, he ends up with 3,102,199. A loss to McCain by 30,000 votes, and a contested election by either campaign.
Even if only 60% of those 222,000 people were going to vote for Obama, that still takes Obama's victory margin down to around 140,000. Still an incredibly close race, and in the range of recounts and contesting of results.
This is where ACORN comes in to play. The Republican's will pull in the whispers of voter fraud by ACORN, and claim any victory by Obama is illegitimate. The Republican's will look to polarize the nation against Obama, much like what Bush faced before 9/11.
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